Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 9.258785 10.567107 12.000700 13.689201 15.625009 17.776718 20.352283
2025-12-28 7.688706 9.450666 11.532899 14.179364 17.459967 21.401670 26.510281
2026-01-04 6.724011 8.710472 11.187319 14.510975 18.868136 24.404873 32.005494
2026-01-11 6.092644 8.241446 11.041885 14.972634 20.370927 27.558523 37.912129
2026-01-18 5.325147 7.474174 10.382825 14.626008 20.691119 29.098331 41.724144
2026-01-25 4.741572 6.878107 9.869248 14.386289 21.079075 30.699013 45.700572
2026-02-01 4.262006 6.370493 9.414558 14.158868 21.423209 32.217586 49.643485
2026-02-08 3.854694 5.922887 8.994650 13.923779 21.704292 33.627835 53.506653
2026-02-15 3.505175 5.525938 8.607576 13.689012 21.941499 34.959229 57.328978
2026-02-22 3.383087 5.468629 8.732053 14.258367 23.487022 38.463335 64.976034
2026-03-01 3.199150 5.293338 8.649994 14.477354 24.466049 41.112720 71.418541
2026-03-08 2.981965 5.043057 8.421999 14.426838 24.975810 43.002836 76.700998
2026-03-15 2.765195 4.778352 8.152949 14.290288 25.337516 44.691481 81.833192
2026-03-22 2.678851 4.730250 8.246549 14.791893 26.865574 48.554977 91.298181
2026-03-29 2.573970 4.639473 8.256003 15.138798 28.135531 52.050302 100.394194
2026-04-05 2.497650 4.592816 8.337946 15.621155 29.691751 56.197246 111.131345
2026-04-12 2.306988 4.320012 7.986648 15.258974 29.604433 57.213391 115.755862
2026-04-19 2.148841 4.095587 7.706997 15.008504 29.707387 58.595368 121.233925
2026-04-26 2.006168 3.889552 7.445860 14.770891 29.811027 59.977561 126.826782
2026-05-03 1.874586 3.694992 7.191814 14.525271 29.873811 61.273837 132.345127
2026-05-10 1.753847 3.512797 6.948197 14.279995 29.913389 62.517819 137.854036
2026-05-17 1.733690 3.531616 7.105345 14.874848 31.771449 67.737234 152.682404
2026-05-24 1.675614 3.468031 7.090201 15.103653 32.858204 71.386601 164.292967